07/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Città di Varese vs Bra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No Pick
63%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
44%
4-5
18%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
32%
18%
Draw
26%
37%
Away Win
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Città di Varese v Bra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Città di Varese
The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bra
The Market 46%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+6%
/
+16%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
6
262 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
427 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Città di Varese vs Bra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Città di Varese
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Bra
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
3
Corners
10
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Città di Varese vs Bra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Città di Varese got the better of Bra 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Città di Varese as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Città di Varese vs Bra?
Città di Varese 2-0 Bra in the Italy - Serie D on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Città di Varese vs Bra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Città di Varese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Città di Varese 45%, draw 18%, Bra 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Città di Varese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Città di Varese)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
7 Jan 2024