Sambenedettese 4-1 Sora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over Pick
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sambenedettese The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sora The Market 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sambenedettese
4-1
AWAY Sora
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sambenedettese vs Sora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sambenedettese cruised past Sora 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sora at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sambenedettese had 49% of the ball to Sora's 51%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Sambenedettese vs Sora?

Sambenedettese 4-1 Sora in the Italy - Serie D on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sambenedettese vs Sora?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sora win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sambenedettese 30%, draw 21%, Sora 49%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sora), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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