Gavorrano 2-1 San Donato Tavarnelle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No Pick
63%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
38%
4-5
16%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gavorrano The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY San Donato Tavarnelle The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gavorrano
2-1
AWAY San Donato Tavarnelle
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gavorrano squeezed past San Donato Tavarnelle 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Gavorrano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gavorrano had 46% of the ball to San Donato Tavarnelle's 54%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

Gavorrano 2-1 San Donato Tavarnelle in the Italy - Serie D on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gavorrano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gavorrano 39%, draw 31%, San Donato Tavarnelle 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gavorrano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gavorrano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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