San Paolo Padova 0-1 Portosummaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
35%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
35%
4-5
27%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
56%
-19.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
35%
Away Win
21%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Paolo Padova The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Portosummaga The Market 24%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-12% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Paolo Padova
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Portosummaga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10.09.2023 Portosummaga Portosummaga 0-1 HT 0-0 San Paolo Padova İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Paolo Padova
0-1
AWAY Portosummaga
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
16 Corners 1
POST-MATCH San Paolo Padova vs Portosummaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portosummaga squeezed past San Paolo Padova 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Portosummaga made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, San Paolo Padova had 60% of the ball to Portosummaga's 40%, shots finished 14-18.

What was the final score of San Paolo Padova vs Portosummaga?

San Paolo Padova 0-1 Portosummaga in the Italy - Serie D on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Paolo Padova vs Portosummaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Paolo Padova win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Paolo Padova 37%, draw 28%, Portosummaga 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Paolo Padova), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Paolo Padova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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