Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
4-0
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Roar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Newcastle Jets found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Brisbane Roar had 55% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 45%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.96 to 1.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.83 for Newcastle Jets.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?
Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 37%, draw 26%, Newcastle Jets 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.