Antalyaspor 3-1 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 7 Jan 2025

📅07/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.28
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
20%
5.2
X/2
9%
6.26
X/X
8%
4.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.28
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 12% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
41%
+11.0pp
20%
Draw
27%
-6.6pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 36%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.03/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.03
-35% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
26.04.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
22.11.2008 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
24.02.2008 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
29.09.2007 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor T1L
22.01.2006 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor T1L
28.08.2005 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
3-1
AWAY Kocaelispor
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor saw off Kocaelispor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Antalyaspor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 45% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 55%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Antalyaspor and 0.67 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Antalyaspor 3-1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Cup on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 52%, draw 20%, Kocaelispor 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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