Sivasspor 0-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 7 Jan 2025

Sivasspor
0-1 HT 0-1
Beşiktaş
📅07/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2024/2025

Sivasspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
39%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
4.03
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 32% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.14
1/2
6%
22.1
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
10%
8.68
X/2
15%
4.35
X/X
16%
5.52
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.36
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-13.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sivasspor v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.28
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
– Crosses 6.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sivasspor vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.74 xG 1.76
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 419
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
28.01.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
03.09.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-0 HT 2-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
04.02.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
29.08.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-1 HT 3-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
26.02.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL

Sivasspor 0-1 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
0-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş nicked a narrow win over Sivasspor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Beşiktaş found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 50% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 50%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sivasspor and 1.67 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Beşiktaş?

Sivasspor 0-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Cup on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 32%, draw 29%, Beşiktaş 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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