MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 İskenderunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 7 Jan 2025

📅07/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
7%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 28% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.07
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
5%
11.05
X/X
13%
5.28
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
8%
8.28
2/X
10%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY İskenderunspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1W-0D-0L
AWAY İskenderunspor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.12.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-1 HT 1-1 İskenderunspor İskenderunspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1-1
AWAY İskenderunspor
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs İskenderunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü and İskenderunspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was MKE Ankaragücü at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 66% of the ball to İskenderunspor's 34%, shots finished 20-4.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs İskenderunspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 İskenderunspor in the Turkey - Cup on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs İskenderunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 53%, draw 29%, İskenderunspor 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
7 Jan 2025
15:30 Fatih Karagümrük vs Çaykur Rizespor Analysis →
19:00 Sivasspor vs Beşiktaş Analysis →
21:00 Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor Analysis →