Fulham 2-1 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 7 Jan 2026

Fulham
2-1 HT 0-0
Chelsea
📅07/01/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.9
Over
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.72
No
46%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.31
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.46
6+
12%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.52
1/2 ✗
11%
24.45
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
11%
7.45
X/2
9%
4.76
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.77
2/X
5%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Fulham v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea The Market 50%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.15/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.45
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
21.5 Crosses 15.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Fulham vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Chelsea
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
386 Passes 431
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.08.2025 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
20.04.2025 Fulham Fulham 1-2 HT 1-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
26.12.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 1-2 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
13.01.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
02.10.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-2 HT 0-2 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
30.07.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 2-0 Fulham Fulham HAZPL

Fulham 2-1 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
2-1
AWAY Chelsea
1.23 xG 2.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
503 Passes 392
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Fulham vs Chelsea
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fulham came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Chelsea 2-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.

On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Fulham's favour, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.23 to 2.39 — by the quality of chances, Chelsea deserved more.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Fulham against 1.67 for Chelsea.

Fulham vs Chelsea Result & Final Score

Fulham 2-1 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 07/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fulham 30%, draw 24%, Chelsea 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
7 Jan 2026
22:30 Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Analysis →
22:30 Brentford vs Sunderland Analysis →
22:30 Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Analysis →
22:30 Everton vs Wolverhampton Analysis →
22:30 Bournemouth vs Tottenham Analysis →
23:15 Newcastle United vs Leeds United Analysis →