Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fulham v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals
Fulham vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Chelsea
İNP
2-0
HT 2-0
Fulham
HAZPL
0-0
HT 0-0
Fulham
İNP
2-1
HT 1-0
Chelsea
İNP
Fulham 1-2 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea edged past Fulham 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Chelsea made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Fulham had 41% of the ball to Chelsea's 59%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.25 to 0.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fulham and 1.17 for Chelsea.
What was the final score of Fulham vs Chelsea?
Fulham 1-2 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fulham vs Chelsea?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fulham 34%, draw 26%, Chelsea 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.