Ipswich Town 0-4 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

Ipswich Town
0-4 HT 0-2
Arsenal
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ipswich Town vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.49
Away Pick
63%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.15
Over
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
22%
4.0
2-3
44%
1.83
4-5
24%
2.92
6+
10%
8.89
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.0 — our 22% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
13.75
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X
6%
22.0
X/1
6%
15.95
X/2
14%
3.85
X/X
9%
6.93
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
42%
1.64
2/X
6%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Arsenal win — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
63%
Away Win
68%
-4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ipswich Town v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 71%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
0.82/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.75
-31% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +26%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 84%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.1
12.1 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Ipswich Town vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Arsenal
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.15 xG 1.86
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
256 Passes 604
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
5 Box Touches 40
8 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.12.2024 Arsenal Arsenal 1-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
25.01.2011 Arsenal Arsenal 3-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNLK
12.01.2011 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNLK
21.04.2002 Arsenal Arsenal 2-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
01.12.2001 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
10.02.2001 Arsenal Arsenal 1-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP

Ipswich Town 0-4 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
0-4
AWAY Arsenal
0.17 xG 2.55
25% Ball Possession 75%
4 Total Shots 24
0 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 12
199 Passes 685
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
5 Box Touches 70
4 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal ran out comfortable winners over Ipswich Town 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 25% of the ball to Arsenal's 75%, shots finished 4-24, expected goals 0.17 to 2.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.50 for Arsenal.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?

Ipswich Town 0-4 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 16%, draw 21%, Arsenal 63%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
20 Apr 2025
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