Manchester United 0-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

Manchester United
0-1 HT 0-0
Wolverhampton
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs Wolverhampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.25
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
24%
3.49
6+
11%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.69
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.68
X/2
15%
5.97
X/X
12%
4.62
2/1 ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.98
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Wolverhampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.32/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.31
+5% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
13.8 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Manchester United vs Wolverhampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.99 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
380 Passes 374
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
01.02.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-4 HT 0-2 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
14.08.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
13.05.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
31.12.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
03.01.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP

Manchester United 0-1 Wolverhampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
0-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.32 xG 0.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
494 Passes 316
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton edged past Manchester United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Wolverhampton found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Manchester United had 60% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 40%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.32 to 0.23 — on chances, Manchester United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Manchester United and 1.00 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Wolverhampton?

Manchester United 0-1 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 36%, draw 26%, Wolverhampton 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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