Port Melbourne 0-1 South Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 66%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
2.00/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.64
+89% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +62%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 22.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
1W-0D-5L
AWAY South Melbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
3.09 xG 3.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
424 Passes 134
80% Pass Accuracy 55%
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 4-0 HT 1-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
27.04.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-3 HT 1-1 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
22.07.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-4 HT 0-3 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
24.04.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 5-2 HT 3-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
30.07.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-1 HT 1-1 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
30.04.2022 South Melbourne South Melbourne 3-0 HT 3-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs South Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Melbourne edged past Port Melbourne 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Port Melbourne and 3.33 for South Melbourne.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs South Melbourne?

Port Melbourne 0-1 South Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs South Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 22%, draw 22%, South Melbourne 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Melbourne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
7 Feb 2025
11:30 Manly United vs Central Coast II Analysis →
12:15 Oakleigh Cannons vs Avondale Heights Analysis →
12:30 Preston Lions vs Hume City Analysis →