Port Melbourne vs South Melbourne Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Melbourne v South Melbourne — Team-Based Signals
Port Melbourne vs South Melbourne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-3
South Melbourne
AVNPL
5-2
HT 3-1
Port Melbourne
AVNPL
2-1
HT 1-1
South Melbourne
AVNPL
3-0
HT 3-0
Port Melbourne
AVNPL
0-1
HT 0-0
Port Melbourne
AVNPL
0-0
HT 0-0
South Melbourne
AVNPL
South Melbourne nicked a narrow win over Port Melbourne 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; South Melbourne found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Port Melbourne and 2.17 for South Melbourne.
What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs South Melbourne?
Port Melbourne 2-3 South Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs South Melbourne?
Before kick-off our model rated an South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 27%, draw 33%, South Melbourne 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.