Martigues 1-2 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 7 Feb 2025

Martigues
1-2 HT 0-2
Troyes
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Martigues vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
5.89
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
11%
7.16
X/2
15%
4.44
X/X
14%
4.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.85
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Martigues v Troyes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 49%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
0.85/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.13
-33% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.6 Crosses 20.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Martigues vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Martigues
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Troyes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.19 xG 4.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 30
1 Shots on Target 16
2 Corners 5
355 Passes 452
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 48
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
13.12.2024 Troyes Troyes 4-0 HT 1-0 Martigues Martigues FR2

Martigues 1-2 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Martigues
1-2
AWAY Troyes
1.50 xG 2.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
261 Passes 389
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes nicked a narrow win over Martigues 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Martigues had 44% of the ball to Troyes's 56%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.50 to 2.46.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Troyes?

Martigues 1-2 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Martigues 23%, draw 28%, Troyes 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Troyes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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