Rodez 0-2 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 7 Feb 2025

Rodez
0-2 HT 0-1
Bastia
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Rodez vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 33% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.53
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.35
X/2
11%
5.98
X/X
12%
4.35
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.2
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rodez v Bastia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.33/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.30
+20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.2 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rodez vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bastia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 1.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
248 Passes 338
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2024 Bastia Bastia 2-2 HT 1-2 Rodez Rodez FR2
17.02.2024 Bastia Bastia 0-2 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
21.10.2023 Rodez Rodez 1-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
25.02.2023 Rodez Rodez 0-2 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
27.08.2022 Bastia Bastia 0-2 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
07.05.2022 Bastia Bastia 0-1 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Bastia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bastia saw off Rodez 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Bastia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rodez had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rodez and 0.83 for Bastia.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Bastia?

Rodez 0-2 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Bastia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rodez 40%, draw 25%, Bastia 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rodez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rodez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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