Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.98
2-3 Goals
43%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.42
6+ Goals
15%
5.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
69%
-2.9pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.1pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-1.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.39/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.67
-11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
21.4 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Fateh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.51 xG 1.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 276
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
02.03.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
02.09.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 5-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
11.02.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
17.09.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
20.03.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2-0
AWAY Al Fateh
3.35 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah saw off Al Fateh 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 55% of the ball to Al Fateh's 45%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 3.35 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 2.00 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fateh?

Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 66%, draw 21%, Al Fateh 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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