Al Nassr 3-0 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
73%
-17.7pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.8pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
2.30/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.72
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
23.0 Crosses 10.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Fayha
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.96 xG 0.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
594 Passes 281
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-4 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
19.04.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
21.02.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha AŞMP
14.02.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
28.10.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
3-0
AWAY Al Fayha
1.53 xG 0.39
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
522 Passes 256
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr cruised past Al Fayha 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Nassr had 64% of the ball to Al Fayha's 36%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.53 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Nassr and 0.50 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Fayha?

Al Nassr 3-0 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 55%, draw 24%, Al Fayha 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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