Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Chesterfield
İN1
3-2
HT 2-1
Bristol Rovers
İN1
3-1
HT 2-1
Bristol Rovers
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
İN2
2-0
HT 0-0
Bristol Rovers
İN2
Bristol Rovers 2-3 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield edged past Bristol Rovers 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Chesterfield made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Bristol Rovers had 45% of the ball to Chesterfield's 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.23 to 3.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chesterfield's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bristol Rovers and 2.00 for Chesterfield.
What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Bristol Rovers 2-3 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 37%, draw 28%, Chesterfield 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bristol Rovers), Under 2.5 went the other way.