Crawley Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Feb 2026

Crawley Town
0-1 HT 0-0
Crewe Alexandra
📅07/02/2026 · 🕒15:31 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
3.15
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
9%
5.21
X/2
11%
6.52
X/X
8%
5.12
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
12%
4.44
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Crawley Town win — 48%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crawley Town v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.54/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.31
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.2 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
332 Passes 214
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.08.2025 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
19.05.2024 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
10.02.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
21.10.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-4 HT 2-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
11.02.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
17.09.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2

Crawley Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
0-1
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
0.30 xG 1.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
267 Passes 195
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
10 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra nicked a narrow win over Crawley Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Crawley Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 55% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 45%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.30 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crawley Town and 1.50 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra?

Crawley Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 48%, draw 22%, Crewe Alexandra 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crawley Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crawley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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