Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crewe Alexandra v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 2-1
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
2-2
HT 1-0
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
İN2
2-1
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
İN2
Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra edged past Crawley Town 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Crewe Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 46% of the ball to Crawley Town's 54%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.35 to 0.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.17 for Crawley Town.
What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town?
Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 50%, draw 23%, Crawley Town 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.