Gillingham 2-1 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒18:01 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.52
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
19%
4.44
X/2
8%
8.18
X/X
12%
4.91
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
13%
6.41
2/X
9%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Gillingham win — 48%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.65/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.48
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 68%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
25.5 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 249
67% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
25.01.2025 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
14.09.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 3-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
09.03.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
25.11.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
11.03.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
2-1
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.41 xG 1.64
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
149 Passes 286
60% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham squeezed past Tranmere Rovers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gillingham as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gillingham had 38% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 62%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.41 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gillingham and 1.00 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers?

Gillingham 2-1 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 48%, draw 26%, Tranmere Rovers 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
7 Feb 2026
15:31 Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra Analysis →
15:31 Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic Analysis →
18:01 Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield Analysis →
18:01 Walsall vs Barnet Analysis →
18:01 Fleetwood Town vs Bromley Analysis →
18:01 Harrogate Town vs Cambridge United Analysis →