Swindon Town 3-0 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒15:31 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.41
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
9%
5.37
X/2
13%
6.22
X/X
9%
4.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.28
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.26/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.13
+18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 70%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
18.7 Crosses 21.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.49 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 Passes 196
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
12.03.2022 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
30.10.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-3 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
14.12.2019 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
13.04.2019 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
29.09.2018 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
3-0
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.35 xG 1.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
276 Passes 235
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town cruised past Oldham Athletic 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Swindon Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Swindon Town had 52% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 48%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.35 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Swindon Town and 0.67 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic?

Swindon Town 3-0 Oldham Athletic in the England - 2nd Division on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 42%, draw 23%, Oldham Athletic 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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