Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.88
6+ Goals
10%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
10%
4.46
X/2
10%
6.72
X/X
14%
3.74
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
11%
5.65
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tranmere Rovers win — 47%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.15/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.32
-2% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 69%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
22.2 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gillingham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
241 Passes 271
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
14.09.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 3-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
09.03.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
25.11.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
11.03.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
13.08.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-1
AWAY Gillingham
1.13 xG 0.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
238 Passes 160
71% Pass Accuracy 58%
30 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers and Gillingham couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tranmere Rovers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 56% of the ball to Gillingham's 44%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.13 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.33 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Gillingham?

Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 47%, draw 28%, Gillingham 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
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