Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.83
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.4
X/2
16%
5.77
X/X
13%
3.85
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
7%
4.23
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tranmere Rovers win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.01/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.11
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
256 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 63%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.6 Crosses 22.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gillingham
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 Passes 267
65% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 3-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
09.03.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
25.11.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
11.03.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
13.08.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
07.09.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-2 HT 0-2 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-1
AWAY Gillingham
2.28 xG 1.11
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
258 Passes 152
69% Pass Accuracy 61%
40 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers and Gillingham couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 61% of the ball to Gillingham's 39%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.28 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.50 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Gillingham?

Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 38%, draw 31%, Gillingham 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tranmere Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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