Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crewe Alexandra v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 2-1
Accrington Stanley
İN2
4-1
HT 1-0
Crewe Alexandra
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Accrington Stanley
İN1
2-0
HT 1-0
Accrington Stanley
İN1
Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics
Accrington Stanley edged past Crewe Alexandra 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Crewe Alexandra at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 59% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 41%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.33 for Accrington Stanley.
What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley?
Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Accrington Stanley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 42%, draw 26%, Accrington Stanley 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.