Colchester 1-0 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
8%
9.59
X/X
8%
4.45
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
11%
8.28
2/X
12%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.85/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.52
-4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 65%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.0 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Morecambe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.67 xG 1.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 Passes 209
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 3-3 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
27.01.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 0-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
07.10.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-3 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
23.01.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 3-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
19.12.2020 Colchester Colchester 1-2 HT 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
11.01.2020 Morecambe Morecambe 1-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
1-0
AWAY Morecambe
1.00 xG 0.39
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
465 Passes 142
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
34 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester nicked a narrow win over Morecambe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colchester as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Colchester had 71% of the ball to Morecambe's 29%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.00 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morecambe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colchester and 2.00 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Morecambe?

Colchester 1-0 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Colchester 50%, draw 25%, Morecambe 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colchester), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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