Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.6
X/1
19%
3.76
X/2
10%
12.65
X/X
11%
5.86
2/1
10%
23.0
2/2
8%
11.0
2/X
6%
20.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.72/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.56
-8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
275 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 62%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
26.9 Crosses 13.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Harrogate Town
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 1.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
328 Passes 254
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.09.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
06.01.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
05.08.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
15.04.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
07.03.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1-0
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.41 xG 1.29
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
245 Passes 147
64% Pass Accuracy 54%
24 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers edged past Harrogate Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 59% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 41%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.41 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 2.00 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Harrogate Town?

Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 52%, draw 25%, Harrogate Town 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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