Morecambe vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Morecambe v Colchester — Team-Based Signals
Morecambe vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Morecambe
İN2
3-0
HT 1-0
Colchester
İN2
1-2
HT 1-1
Morecambe
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Colchester
İN2
0-1
HT 0-0
Morecambe
İN2
Morecambe 3-3 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics
Morecambe and Colchester shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Morecambe had 42% of the ball to Colchester's 58%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 1.22 to 3.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morecambe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Morecambe and 0.67 for Colchester.
What was the final score of Morecambe vs Colchester?
Morecambe 3-3 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Colchester?
Before kick-off our model rated a Morecambe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 40%, draw 28%, Colchester 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.