Preston North End vs Portsmouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Preston North End v Portsmouth — Team-Based Signals
Preston North End vs Portsmouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Portsmouth
İN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Preston North End
İN1
1-1
HT 0-1
Preston North End
İNCL
Preston North End 1-0 Portsmouth — Actual Match Statistics
Preston North End nicked a narrow win over Portsmouth 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Preston North End found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Preston North End had 37% of the ball to Portsmouth's 63%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.57 to 1.20 — on chances, Portsmouth could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Preston North End and 1.17 for Portsmouth.
What was the final score of Preston North End vs Portsmouth?
Preston North End 1-0 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Portsmouth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 40%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preston North End), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.