Portsmouth 1-0 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.71
Over
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.69
2-3
38%
1.72
4-5
19%
3.98
6+
9%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.69 — our 34% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
18%
4.66
X/2
14%
6.76
X/X
17%
4.22
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
11%
5.24
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.57/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.12
-27% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
28.1 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Preston North End
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
192 Passes 281
63% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
09.11.2024 Portsmouth Portsmouth 3-1 HT 2-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
29.03.2013 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
15.12.2012 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İN1
09.04.2011 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
21.08.2010 Preston North End Preston North End 1-0 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
1-0
AWAY Preston North End
1.58 xG 1.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
189 Passes 327
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth nicked a narrow win over Preston North End 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Portsmouth made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Portsmouth had 39% of the ball to Preston North End's 61%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.58 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portsmouth and 1.00 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Preston North End?

Portsmouth 1-0 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 40%, draw 29%, Preston North End 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portsmouth), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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