Sporting Charleroi 3-4 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.27
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.25
X/2
9%
6.57
X/X
12%
4.53
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.63
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.53/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.35
-25% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
21.6 Crosses 17.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 241
66% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2025 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
25.01.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
03.11.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
09.03.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
05.08.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
15.01.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 1-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
3-4
AWAY Cercle Brugge
2.52 xG 2.31
73% Ball Possession 27%
28 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
459 Passes 124
87% Pass Accuracy 65%
56 Box Touches 12
37 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge squeezed past Sporting Charleroi 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 73% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 27%, shots finished 28-11, expected goals 2.52 to 2.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.33 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?

Sporting Charleroi 3-4 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 46%, draw 26%, Cercle Brugge 28%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
7 Feb 2026
18:00 SV Zulte Waregem vs Dender EH Analysis →
22:45 Gent vs OH Leuven Analysis →