Gent 1-3 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.72
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.78
X/2
16%
7.66
X/X
12%
4.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.45
2/2
10%
5.66
2/X
4%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.31/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.45
+16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.4 Crosses 15.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
2W-1D-3L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.83 xG 0.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
456 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-0 HT 2-0 Gent Gent BEL
26.01.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
29.09.2024 Gent Gent 3-0 HT 2-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
12.05.2024 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
14.04.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-1 HT 2-1 Gent Gent BEL
21.12.2023 Gent Gent 4-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-3
AWAY OH Leuven
1.52 xG 2.06
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
393 Passes 193
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Box Touches 17
39 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gent vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven got the better of Gent 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Gent at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gent had 64% of the ball to OH Leuven's 36%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 1.52 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gent and 1.17 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Gent vs OH Leuven?

Gent 1-3 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gent 45%, draw 24%, OH Leuven 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gent) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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