Cercle Brugge 2-3 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
5%
12.15
X/1
17%
5.03
X/2
10%
6.97
X/X
12%
4.69
2/1
8%
24.5
2/2
13%
4.85
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.60/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.45
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.1 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.46 xG 1.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
204 Passes 266
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
03.11.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
09.03.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
05.08.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
15.01.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 1-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
21.10.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 4-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
2-3
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.80 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
344 Passes 255
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi edged past Cercle Brugge 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 56% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 44%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.80 to 1.30 — on chances, Cercle Brugge could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cercle Brugge and 0.67 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Sporting Charleroi?

Cercle Brugge 2-3 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 45%, draw 25%, Sporting Charleroi 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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