Royal Antwerp 1-2 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.28
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.05
X/1
15%
5.45
X/2
15%
6.32
X/X
10%
4.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.95
2/2
16%
4.13
2/X
7%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.95 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.52/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.47
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
17.6 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gent
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
430 Passes 329
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Gent Gent 0-3 HT 0-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
13.04.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
09.03.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
01.09.2024 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
25.02.2024 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 2-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
27.09.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-2
AWAY Gent
1.16 xG 1.53
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
433 Passes 253
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent edged past Royal Antwerp 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Gent made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 61% of the ball to Gent's 39%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.16 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Royal Antwerp and 0.83 for Gent.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Gent?

Royal Antwerp 1-2 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 37%, draw 25%, Gent 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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