Anderlecht 1-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.42
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.68
X/2
8%
6.11
X/X
9%
4.95
2/1
6%
24.95
2/2
15%
3.84
2/X
6%
12.2
Value flag · X/1 at 5.68 — our 19% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.46/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.46
-5% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
15.9 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Genk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.99 xG 2.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
379 Passes 421
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
06.04.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
22.12.2024 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
17.09.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
11.05.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
20.04.2024 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
1-1
AWAY Genk
0.96 xG 1.28
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
210 Passes 603
75% Pass Accuracy 93%
15 Box Touches 43
9 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht and Genk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Anderlecht at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 30% of the ball to Genk's 70%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.96 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Anderlecht and 1.83 for Genk.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Genk?

Anderlecht 1-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 45%, draw 25%, Genk 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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