St. Truidense 0-3 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Sep 2025

St. Truidense
0-3 HT 0-1
Westerlo
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

St. Truidense vs Westerlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.82
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.03
X/2
11%
6.9
X/X
7%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.95
2/2
12%
4.58
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.95 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Truidense v Westerlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -8%
1.72/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.61
+21% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
17.6 Crosses 17.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

St. Truidense vs Westerlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Westerlo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.16 xG 1.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
437 Passes 345
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.07.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense HAZ
11.01.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
26.10.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
03.05.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
31.03.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
24.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo ran out comfortable winners over St. Truidense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was St. Truidense at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Truidense and 0.67 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Westerlo?

St. Truidense 0-3 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 48%, draw 22%, Westerlo 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Truidense), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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