Bali United 1-3 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 7 Feb 2026

Bali United
1 - 3 HT 0 - 1
Persebaya Surabaya
📅07/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2025/2026

Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Bali United v Persebaya Surabaya — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bali United The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya The Market 32%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.55 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
1.05 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 2

Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
341 Passes 345
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2025 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 5-2 HT 2-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
28.12.2024 Bali United Bali United 2-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
24.04.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-2 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
02.09.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
25.03.2022 Bali United Bali United 0-3 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
05.01.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-1 HT 1-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
REVIEW Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Persebaya Surabaya took care of Bali United 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bali United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Bali United against 1.83 for Persebaya Surabaya.

Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya Result & Final Score

Bali United 1 - 3 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bali United 44%, draw 28%, Persebaya Surabaya 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bali United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bali United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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