Arka Gdynia 2-2 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.36
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
8%
7.95
X/2
17%
4.48
X/X
10%
4.54
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.63
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 53%
+23% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.36/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.46
+16% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
18.0 Crosses 21.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
295 Passes 492
03.08.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
10.06.2020 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 5-1 HT 1-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
2-2
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.93 xG 1.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
255 Passes 359
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia and Legia Varşova shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 44% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 56%, shots finished 3-14, expected goals 0.93 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arka Gdynia and 2.50 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Legia Varşova?

Arka Gdynia 2-2 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 28%, draw 24%, Legia Varşova 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Legia Varşova), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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