Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Jagiellonia Bialystok 4-1 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok ran out comfortable winners over Motor Lublin 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 54% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 46%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 3.00 to 1.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 0.33 for Motor Lublin.
What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Motor Lublin?
Jagiellonia Bialystok 4-1 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Motor Lublin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 53%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.