Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.21
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
19%
5.49
X/2
10%
6.51
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
17%
4.17
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.76/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.32
+8% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.9 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 1.55
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
308 Passes 455
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.12.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-1 HT 2-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
21.07.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
09.03.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
02.09.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
30.04.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
0-1
AWAY Lech Poznan
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lech Poznan squeezed past Gornik Zabrze 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gornik Zabrze at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 54% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 46%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.00 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan?

Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 41%, draw 24%, Lech Poznan 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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