Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lech Poznan v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals
Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
0-1
HT 0-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
1-2
HT 1-1
Lech Poznan
POL
Lech Poznan 2-1 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan squeezed past Gornik Zabrze 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Lech Poznan had 55% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 45%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.60 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lech Poznan and 0.83 for Gornik Zabrze.
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze?
Lech Poznan 2-1 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 54%, draw 25%, Gornik Zabrze 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.