Widzew Lodz 3-0 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.32
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.62
X/2
12%
8.79
X/X
11%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.0
2/2
13%
6.26
2/X
5%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.40/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.63
-40% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
26.2 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Katowice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
379 Passes 346
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 0-0 Katowice Katowice POL
13.09.2024 Katowice Katowice 2-2 HT 2-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
06.04.2022 Katowice Katowice 0-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL1
10.09.2021 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-1 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
12.07.2020 Katowice Katowice 1-1 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL2
19.10.2019 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Katowice Katowice POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
3-0
AWAY Katowice
1.72 xG 1.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
21 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
206 Passes 297
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz ran out comfortable winners over Katowice 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Widzew Lodz as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 43% of the ball to Katowice's 57%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.72 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Widzew Lodz and 0.83 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Katowice?

Widzew Lodz 3-0 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 46%, draw 24%, Katowice 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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