Widzew Lodz 1-0 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.48
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
10%
12.25
X/1
13%
5.66
X/2
9%
6.14
X/X
9%
4.78
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
18%
3.96
2/X
7%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.35/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.76
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
23.9 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Katowice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.21 xG 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
446 Passes 282
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2024 Katowice Katowice 2-2 HT 2-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
06.04.2022 Katowice Katowice 0-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL1
10.09.2021 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-1 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
12.07.2020 Katowice Katowice 1-1 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL2
19.10.2019 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Katowice Katowice POL2
22.11.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-0
AWAY Katowice
0.82 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
312 Passes 409
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz squeezed past Katowice 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Widzew Lodz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 45% of the ball to Katowice's 55%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.82 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.00 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Katowice?

Widzew Lodz 1-0 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 39%, draw 25%, Katowice 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
15 Mar 2025
16:45 Stal Mielec vs Slask Wroclaw Analysis →
19:30 Gornik Zabrze vs Motor Lublin Analysis →