Stal Mielec 1-4 Slask Wroclaw — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.23
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
18%
5.04
X/2
8%
6.38
X/X
11%
4.41
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.63
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.69/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
24.7 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 343
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2024 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 2-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
16.02.2024 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0-1 HT 0-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
12.08.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 3-1 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
18.03.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-1 HT 1-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
03.09.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-0 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
15.05.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-1 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
1-4
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
1.45 xG 3.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 4
221 Passes 417
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 37
20 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Slask Wroclaw
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slask Wroclaw cruised past Stal Mielec 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stal Mielec at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 39% of the ball to Slask Wroclaw's 61%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.45 to 3.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stal Mielec had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stal Mielec and 0.83 for Slask Wroclaw.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Slask Wroclaw?

Stal Mielec 1-4 Slask Wroclaw in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Slask Wroclaw?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 44%, draw 25%, Slask Wroclaw 30%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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