Al Kholood vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Kholood v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Kholood vs Al Shabab Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Al Kholood 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Kholood edged past Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Riyadh at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Kholood had 42% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 58%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.74 to 0.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Kholood and 2.00 for Al Shabab Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Al Kholood 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 24%, draw 25%, Al Shabab Riyadh 51%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.