Al-Qadsiah 1-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
7.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.64 — our 25% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Al-Qadsiah win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-3.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
2.14/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.54
+8% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
26.0 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
324 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2025 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-1 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
01.02.2025 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
23.08.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
25.05.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
19.01.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
27.01.2019 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
1-1
AWAY Al Fateh
1.65 xG 0.38
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
471 Passes 168
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah and Al Fateh shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Al-Qadsiah carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 69% of the ball to Al Fateh's 31%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.65 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.17 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Fateh?

Al-Qadsiah 1-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 61%, draw 19%, Al Fateh 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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