Al Fateh vs Al-Qadsiah Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Fateh v Al-Qadsiah — Team-Based Signals
Al Fateh vs Al-Qadsiah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
1-1
HT 1-0
Al Fateh
SUUD
2-0
HT 1-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Fateh
SUUD
Al Fateh 0-1 Al-Qadsiah — Actual Match Statistics
Al-Qadsiah squeezed past Al Fateh 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Fateh had 35% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 65%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.55 to 1.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Fateh and 0.83 for Al-Qadsiah.
What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al-Qadsiah?
Al Fateh 0-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al-Qadsiah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 23%, draw 21%, Al-Qadsiah 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.