Club Guarani 2-0 2 de Mayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
24%
2.88
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.27
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.11 — our 41% vs market 38.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.6pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.4pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 32%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
4W-1D-0L
AWAY 2 de Mayo
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.33 xG 0.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2025 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 0-2 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
21.10.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-2 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
11.08.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
05.06.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 3-2 HT 0-1 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
01.04.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
2-0
AWAY 2 de Mayo
1.39 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani got the better of 2 de Mayo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Club Guarani found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Club Guarani had 46% of the ball to 2 de Mayo's 54%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.39 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Club Guarani had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Club Guarani and 0.60 for 2 de Mayo.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo?

Club Guarani 2-0 2 de Mayo in the Copa Sudamericana on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 39%, draw 24%, 2 de Mayo 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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