Cerro Largo vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Largo v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Largo vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Cerro Largo
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Danubio
URU
Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Largo and Danubio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Cerro Largo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro Largo had 47% of the ball to Danubio's 53%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.07 to 1.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.83 for Danubio.
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Danubio?
Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio in the Copa Sudamericana on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Danubio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 42%, draw 32%, Danubio 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.