Cerro Largo vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cerro Largo v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Largo vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Largo and Danubio shared the points in a 2-2 draw. From 2-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 35% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Danubio saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.07 to 1.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Cerro Largo against 0.83 for Danubio.
Cerro Largo vs Danubio Result & Final Score
Cerro Largo 2 - 2 Danubio in the Copa Sudamericana on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cerro Largo vs Danubio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 37%, draw 35%, Danubio 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.